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Infrastructure4 August 2026· Oakstead Research

Satellite town land growth cools to 4.3% as road gains get priced in

Land in Nairobi's satellite towns rose 4.3% over the year to March, down sharply from 9.93% a year earlier.

Satellite town land growth cools to 4.3% as road gains get priced in

Land prices in Nairobi's satellite towns grew by an average of 4.3% in the year to March, down from 9.93% in the preceding year. Over five years the average price per acre has still risen roughly 50%, from about KES 22 million to KES 33 million.

Infrastructure remains the underlying driver. The Nairobi Expressway, BRT Line 2, commuter rail upgrades, the Thika Road duplication and the Outer Ring Road upgrade have all improved access to outlying areas over the past decade.

The slowdown reflects three things: weaker demand under tighter economic conditions, uncertainty around county planning approvals, and the simple fact that infrastructure-led uplift has now been largely priced into land along established corridors.

Performance has split by town. Ruiru rose 2.8%, Juja 1.2%, Rongai 0.9% and Kitengela 0.8%, while Athi River fell 2.5%, Ngong 1.7%, and Tigoni, Syokimau and Limuru each slipped slightly. Buying purely to wait for a road to arrive is a strategy with far less room left in it.

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